IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
McNeese St.
Southland
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.5	#316
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.8	#263
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.1	#288

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.4	#325

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.8%	6.3%	3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	22.9%	42.4%	17.8%
.500 or above in Conference	46.1%	60.7%	42.3%
Conference Champion	4.6%	8.4%	3.6%
Last Place in Conference	10.0%	5.7%	11.2%

First Four	2.2%	2.8%	2.1%
First Round	2.6%	4.8%	2.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Away) - 20.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	10 - 10	11 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	231	@ Western Michigan	L	67-76	21%
Nov 09, 2019	202	@ Louisiana	L	72-82	18%
Nov 13, 2019	33	@ Wisconsin	L	52-76	1%
Nov 16, 2019	92	@ New Mexico	L	70-87	6%
Nov 22, 2019	105	@ Richmond	L	63-80	7%
Nov 30, 2019	24	@ Texas	L	55-80	1%
Dec 10, 2019	234	UMKC	L	69-71	41%
Dec 21, 2019	290	Stephen F. Austin	W	70-69	53%
Jan 02, 2020	186	Sam Houston St.	L	67-72	35%
Jan 04, 2020	284	@ Central Arkansas	L	72-78	32%
Jan 08, 2020	286	@ Abilene Christian	L	64-69	32%
Jan 11, 2020	347	Northwestern St.	W	74-66	74%
Jan 15, 2020	344	Incarnate Word	W	73-66	73%
Jan 18, 2020	243	@ New Orleans	L	66-74	26%
Jan 22, 2020	299	@ SE Louisiana	L	64-69	35%
Jan 25, 2020	292	Houston Baptist	W	81-80	53%
Jan 29, 2020	309	Nicholls St.	W	74-72	57%
Feb 01, 2020	281	Lamar	W	72-71	51%
Feb 05, 2020	291	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	63-68	33%
Feb 08, 2020	284	Central Arkansas	W	76-75	52%
Feb 15, 2020	347	@ Northwestern St.	W	71-69	56%
Feb 19, 2020	344	@ Incarnate Word	W	70-69	54%
Feb 22, 2020	243	New Orleans	L	69-71	44%
Feb 26, 2020	299	SE Louisiana	W	67-66	55%
Feb 29, 2020	292	@ Houston Baptist	L	78-83	34%
Mar 04, 2020	309	@ Nicholls St.	L	71-75	38%
Mar 07, 2020	281	@ Lamar	L	68-74	33%
Projected Record						10 - 17	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.3	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0		4.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	1.0	1.8	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.0				6.0	2nd
3rd												0.2	1.4	2.7	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.0					6.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	1.4	3.2	2.2	0.5	0.0	0.0						7.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.1	1.3	3.5	2.8	0.6	0.0								8.3	5th
6th									0.0	1.0	3.3	3.1	0.6	0.0									8.0	6th
7th								0.0	0.7	3.2	3.4	0.8	0.1										8.1	7th
8th							0.0	0.6	3.1	3.7	1.4	0.1											9.0	8th
9th						0.0	0.5	2.8	4.1	1.6	0.2	0.0											9.2	9th
10th					0.0	0.6	2.5	4.1	2.0	0.2	0.0												9.3	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.7	2.2	3.3	1.9	0.3	0.0													8.5	11th
12th		0.0	0.3	1.1	2.3	2.7	1.5	0.3	0.0														8.2	12th
13th	0.2	0.7	1.4	1.7	1.5	0.8	0.1																6.4	13th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.7	2.9	4.5	6.3	7.9	9.7	10.2	9.7	9.8	9.0	8.2	6.6	4.6	3.5	2.3	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	94.3%	0.6		0.6	0.1
17-3	78.4%	0.9		0.7	0.2	0.0
16-4	54.7%	1.3		0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
15-5	30.0%	1.1		0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-6	8.5%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0			0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.6%	4.6		2.7	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		46.4%	46.4%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
19-1	0.2%		28.3%	28.3%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
18-2	0.7%		37.4%	37.4%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4
17-3	1.2%		34.7%	34.7%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.8
16-4	2.3%		26.7%	26.7%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.7
15-5	3.5%		19.1%	19.1%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	2.9
14-6	4.6%		12.2%	12.2%		15.9																0.0	0.5	4.0
13-7	6.6%		7.8%	7.8%		16.0																0.0	0.5	6.1
12-8	8.2%		4.3%	4.3%		16.0																	0.3	7.8
11-9	9.0%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	8.9
10-10	9.8%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	9.7
9-11	9.7%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.7
8-12	10.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.2
7-13	9.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.7
6-14	7.9%																							7.9
5-15	6.3%																							6.3
4-16	4.5%																							4.5
3-17	2.9%																							2.9
2-18	1.7%																							1.7
1-19	0.7%																							0.7
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		3.8%	3.8%	0.0%	15.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.6	3.0	96.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%